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🕵️‍♂️ I SPY, QQQ, IWM TA - Monday Nov. 22, 2021

🕵️‍♂️ I SPY, QQQ, IWM TA - Monday Nov. 22, 2021

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Nov 21, 2021
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🕵️‍♂️ I SPY, QQQ, IWM TA - Monday Nov. 22, 2021
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Nov. 19 - US Market Wrap - Financial Juice

  • Stocks declined as a result of aggressive comments from Federal Reserve officials and growing anxiety that a new wave of the pandemic in Europe could prompt more lockdowns.

  • Companies that are economically sensitive, such as oil, banking, and industrial stocks, have fallen, while the technology-heavy Nasdaq 100 has outperformed major benchmarks.

  • The treasury curve flattened after two members of the Federal Reserve's board of directors suggested that, in light of strong economic growth and increasing inflation, the Fed may need to consider speeding up the reduction of its bond-buying program. The dollar increased.

  • While stock prices are approaching all-time highs, bolstered by strong earnings, a viral comeback may halt the economic recovery at a time when inflation is at an all-time high.

  • Austria was the first country in Western Europe to adopt sweeping restrictions. Non-essential businesses were also closed in areas of Germany, and the Netherlands had previously ordered shops and bars to close early.

  • Biden's centrepiece plan to extend the social safety net, confront climate change, and reform tax policies passed the House of Representatives on Friday morning, with House Rep. Speaker Pelosi uniting divided Democrats to send the bill to the Senate, where its fate remains uncertain.

🕵️‍♂️ I SPY, QQQ, IWM TA - Friday Nov. 19, 2021

SPY - Recap - Nov. 19

Price Action

  • Open: 469.61

  • High: 470.94

  • Low: 468.51

  • Close: 468.86

  • Volume: 51,165,359

SPY - Nov. 22 - Analysis

Options Data

Volume totals reflect options traded during the current session (11/19)

  • Put Volume Total: 2,062,262

  • Call Volume Total: 1,504,125

  • Put/Call Volume Ratio: 1.37

  • Put Open Interest Total: 14,345,570

  • Call Open Interest Total: 7,265,739

  • Put/Call Open Interest Ratio: 1.97

  • IV: 13.62

  • Dvol: 0.86

  • 465.07 - 473.11

  • Key 473

  • Crossover: 468

Technical Analysis - 30 min.

  • Support : 467.76

  • Pivot: 468.86 (Current Support)

  • Resistance - 471 - 470.49

  • Bullish Targets: 472.35 - 474.68

  • Bearish Targets: 466.67 - 464.21 - 463

  • Consolidating around 20 SMMA

  • Near bottom of uptrend support

  • Bulls not being able to find support above 471 is concerning

RSI - 65 min.

  • Essentially consolidating since Nov. 17

  • Look for a 60.60 break for ATH

  • Look for 45.35 break for more downside

  • Bearish divergence

MACD - 65 min.

  • Consolidated

  • Bearish cross

  • Slight advantage to bears

DMI - 1 day

  • Uptrend slightly weakened from Nov. 5

  • Bulls like to see +Di (blue) to 36.2367 - 41.9097

  • Bears like to see -DI (orange) to 21.649+

  • Advantage to bulls until -DI (orange) crosses 21.649

SPY - Jan. 21, 2022 - 65 min.

  • Support: 462.53

  • Resistance: 470.59

  • Bullish Target: 481.57 - 490.73 - 496.85 - 503.51

  • Bearish Targets: 453.85 - 448.56 - 437.23 - 429.83

  • About 6 touches since Nov. 5 @ 470.59 ish (R1)

  • At median of parallel channel

  • If bulls can establish support above 470.59 I believe we can see 481.57 - 490.73 before Jan. 21 exp.

  • I will begin to worry about a downturn if we cross 462.53.

    • If 462.53 breaks I’m looking for a bottom at 453.85 - 448.56

Positions:

470/474 Debit Call Spread - 12/1 - 38% Probability of Profit

  • I’m early on this one and it may bite me in the butt.

  • Taking profit at 472.35 - 474.02

  • Cutting losses at 466.59


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